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Editors’ note: Chart accompanies
release.
TUSCALOOSA, Ala. – Existing home sales in Alabama set a
record in June with 5,905 units sold, according to the Alabama
Real Estate Research and Education Center at The University of
Alabama.
The previous record was set in June of last year with 5,739 units.
The average sales price also set a record at $146,731, up 2.0 percent
from the previous month. The average number of days a house for
sale was on the market remained relatively unchanged at 130 days
while the supply of existing houses for sale at current sales levels
fell to a very tight 4.38 months.
Statewide, year-to-date home sales are up 6.3 percent compared
to June of 2004, while the average sales price is up 14.7 percent,
from the same time last year, at $143,121, according to the UA
real estate center. According to center director Dr. Leonard Zumpano,
year-to-date figures are generally a better indicator of trends
in the housing sector than the relatively volatile month-to-month
figures.
“The strong sales pace was once again the result of a strong
employment situation and continued falling interest rates,” Zumpano
said. The unemployment rate in Alabama remained unchanged in June
at 4.4 percent, according to the Alabama Department of Industrial
Relations. Interest rates actually fell in June, hitting an average
5.58 percent for a 30-year, fixed rate mortgage with an average
0.6 points, which is down from 5.72 percent for the same loan in
May, according to Freddie Mac. Interest rates have been on the
rise in recent weeks, however, with the average 30-year, fixed
rate mortgage at 5.77 percent, with an average 0.5 point, for the
week ending July 28.
On the local level, 15 records were reported. Birmingham, Calhoun
County, Dothan, Mobile, Monroe County, Muscle Shoals, Selma, Tuscaloosa
and Wiregrass all reported records for the number of homes sold
in one month. Birmingham, Calhoun County, Huntsville, Mobile, Montgomery
and Walker County all reported record numbers for average selling
price.
Only seven of the 21 areas tracked by AREREC reported a decrease
in the number of homes sold from the previous month. Year-to-date,
however, only two areas have reported a decrease in the number
of homes sold, Baldwin County, with a 14.7 percent decrease in
the number of homes sold, and Marshall County, with a 4.3 percent
drop.
Construction spending figures show no signs of a slow down in
the near future for the housing sector in Alabama, Zumpano said.
Residential year-to-date construction spending is up 16.7 percent
over June 2004 to $2.58 billion across the state, according to
McGraw Hill. In fact, every area tracked by McGraw Hill showed
a year-to-date increase in spending except Mobile, which showed
a 57.0 percent decrease in residential construction spending, as
compared 2004. Construction spending tends to be a leading indicator
of future home sales.
Home sales set a record at the national level as well. The National
Association of REALTORS® (NAR) reported that existing home
sales hit 7.33 million units on a seasonally adjusted, annualized
basis. The previous record was set in April of this year at 7.18
million units.
The average sale price of an existing home was up 6.3 percent
over the previous month at $219,000, the largest annual increase
in almost 25 years. This represents a 14.7 percent increase over
the same time last year. For the entire U.S., the supply of existing,
single-family homes remained unchanged at a tight 4.3 months, given
the current sales pace.
New homes sales also set a national record in June. The Commerce
Department reported that single-family homes sales rose to a record
annual pace of 1.37 million units, up 4 percent from May.
New home prices, however, have fallen for the second consecutive
month. In June the median price fell by 5.5 percent to $214,800,
down 0.4 percent from the same time last year. New home prices
set a record in April when they hit $232,600.
Total housing starts remained flat in June at 2.0 million units
on an annualized, seasonally adjusted rate. Despite the unchanged
figure, anything over the two million mark is historically very
strong, Zumpano said. The NAR forecasts housing starts to finish
the year a little over two million units, which would be a record.
Single-family housing starts fell 2.5 percent to a 1.667 million
units annual pace while multi-family starts rose by 14.2 percent
to an annual rate of 337,000 units. Housing starts in the South,
however, rose by 11.4 percent in June.
Housing permits, an indicator of future housing market activity,
rose 2.4 percent. This increase was slightly higher than most economists
had expected.
Just as with the state housing market, the strong home sales are
likely a result of a steady employment situation and historically
low interest rates. The national employment situation improved
slightly in June, which brought the unemployment rate down to 5.0
percent, which remained unchanged in July. While many housing analysts
had predicted a slowing market, the housing sector continues to
expand. The linchpin of this expansion is the mortgage market where
low term rates remained extremely low.
The Alabama Real Estate Research and Education Center is part
of The University of Alabama’s Culverhouse
College of Commerce and Business Administration. The UA business school, founded in
1919, has been recognized repeatedly for offering a high-quality,
cost-effective education.
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